The SHRM LINE® Employment Expectations Report for February 2010 has been released.

Key findings:

  • More employers are hiring in February.
  • Landing top-level talent becomes more of a challenge.
  • There were mixed results for new-hire compensation in January.

Click Here for the Full Report

shrmfeb

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Originally published - LasVegasSun.com

Today is a key day for state government and those who care about teacher pay, social services, public safety or whether taxes will go up.

The Economic Forum, a group of five business leaders, has convened in Carson City to re-project tax revenue. Gov. Jim Gibbons called the special meeting because tax revenues have been below what the group predicted on May 1.

Under state law, the group’s May projection determined how much the Legislature could spend.

Gibbons’ staff has said it’s all but certain he will call the state’s 63 part-time legislators back to Carson City to address the budget deficit, likely some time next month. What happens today will determine how deep those cuts will be.

Bill Anderson, chief economist of the Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation, began the presentation with a dim outlook of employment figures.

He said the department’s model shows continued job loss through 2010 and 2011, with only a slight increase in 2012.

He predicted that Nevada will lose about half of the 400,000 jobs created over the last 10 years.

“This is an unprecedented time in Nevada’s history,” Anderson said. “Recovery, when it does unfold, is going to be relatively slow and choppy.”

He described a new reality for Nevada’s economy. He said he never expects in his lifetime a repeat of what Nevada saw during the recent boom.

“I don’t like to say we’ll have a downsized economy, but we’ll grow at a more modest and moderate pace. But on the flip side, maybe it’ll be more sustainable.”

Jeff Hardcastle, the state demographer, tried to lay out the population outlook. He admitted he couldn’t give a good answer now. Under one model, the state would lose 100,000 people between today and 2015. Under a more optimistic one, the state would gain about 116,000 people.

Experts have predicted a shortfall between $400 million to $600 million or higher. A 10 percent across-the-board cut to the state’s budget, if implemented on March 1, would equal about $436 million.

The meeting started this morning with John Restrepo, an economist, elected chairman.

The five members will hear reports on the employment outlook, the population outlook, taxes and past accuracy of predictions before the group starts setting specific predictions. No one is optimistic.

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In December, the unemployment rate jumped seven-tenths of a percent to 13 percent, nearly matching the highest rate on record, September’s 13.3 percent. An estimated 176,000 Nevadans were unemployed. Changes in the unemployment rates in Nevada’s regional labor markets followed suit in December. The unemployment rate in Las Vegas jumped a full percentage point to 13.1 percent. In the Reno area, the unemployment rate increased 1.3 percentage points to 12.7 percent. In Carson City, the unemployment rate climbed to 12.7 percent, an increase of 1.5 percentage points over the month. (Unemployment rates for the State’s metropolitan areas are not adjusted for seasonality. For comparison purposes, the State’s unadjusted unemployment rate was 12.8 percent in December.)

“December marked the end of a historically bad year for Nevada’s economy,” Anderson said. “A year marred by record setting unemployment and job loss. To cap an already dismal year, employers shed an additional 12,500 jobs in December, casting further doubt on the likelihood of a near-term economic recovery in Nevada.”

In all, 76,100 jobs in Nevada were lost from 2008 to 2009. On an average annual basis, in 2009, the unemployment rate grew 5 percentage points, representing an increase of 72,600 unemployed Nevadans.

All metropolitan areas of the state lost jobs in December. In Las Vegas, employers reported 9,900 fewer jobs in December than November. Since December 2008, the area has lost 66,700 jobs or 7.4 percent. The Reno-Sparks labor market contracted by 1,600 jobs in December and is down 13,300 over the year. Carson City held steady, losing just 100, but remains 1,100 below year ago levels, Anderson said.

The much anticipated opening of CityCenter in Las Vegas failed to be the immediate catalyst the leisure and hospitality industry needed to stop the evaporation of jobs, Anderson said. In December, the industry lost 3,900 jobs statewide, with the majority of these losses, 3,000, coming from the Las Vegas area. With the opening of CityCenter, the construction phase came to an end and with it a big drop in construction employment. Across the state, the industry shed 5,300 jobs, with 4,700 job losses in Las Vegas alone. For the second year in a row, holiday hiring came in below the long term average. Typically, the retail industry temporarily hires roughly 6,000 workers between October and December. This year the industry added just 3,000 additional workers across the state.

“Over time, population and employment tend to move hand-in-hand,” Anderson said. “Prior to the current recession, Nevada’s economy was among the strongest in the nation, if not the strongest. As a result, the state served as a magnet for individuals in search of increased economic opportunity. Indeed, Nevada’s population growth was the most pronounced in the nation for essentially two decades prior to the current downturn.”

Nevada’s solid performance continued through the middle part of this decade. The decade started with optimism following years of significant growth, but with two recessions, one triggered by the worst terrorist event in U.S. history, and another triggered by the collapse of the housing bubble, the first ten years of the new millennium fell below initial expectations and potential. On average, the Nevada economy, as measured by employment gains, grew by 76 percent every decade since the 1940s. But, from December 1999 to December 2009, Nevada’s employment base grew by just 15 percent, marking the slowest rate of growth for a ten year period. At the same time, population growth slowed from 70 percent in the 1990s to 30 percent in the recently completed decade, Anderson said.

The current employment recession has now surpassed all recessions in the modern era in terms of depth and length. Prior to this recession, the longest, deepest employment recession occurred in the early 1980s. The recession of the 1980s lasted 18 months, and at its worst, job loss was 4.5 percent year-over-year. The current downturn is now two years old, and employment has fallen by greater than 6 percent.

“Despite the length and depth of the downturn, Nevada’s job market will likely worsen in the months ahead,” Anderson said.

Deconstructing the recession by industry reveals how and when different sectors began to succumb to the economic downturn. Construction employment peaked first in June 2006. Negative economic contagion then spread to nearly all industries within two years. Total employment didn’t peak until May 2007. Since then, all industries, except education and health services, have lost jobs. The education and health services industry has continued to grow given increased demand for services. Construction has, by far, lost the most jobs, 71,600, followed by leisure and hospitality with 44,100 jobs lost.

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Zappos.com of Henderson, the innovative online apparel and footwear seller, is ranked No. 15 in Fortune magazine’s annual “100 Best Companies to Work For list” — up from No. 23 when it debuted on the list last year.

Zappos.com, which last year was acquired by Amazon.com, is the only company based in Southern Nevada on the list in Fortune’s Feb. 8 issue.

Fortune reported Zappos.com has some 1,300 employees, down 323 in one year.

It said the company’s benefits include 100 percent health care and a compressed workweek.

Fortune wrote: “Now an Amazon.com subsidiary, the online retailer has vowed to maintain its zany culture. CEO Tony Hsieh and COO Alfred Lin held an all-hands meeting after the deal was announced, telling employees they would each receive a Kindle and a retention bonus equal to 40 percent of their annual salary, with 20 percent paid this past December and 20 percent next December.”

A few Las Vegas-area employers that are based outside of Nevada are also on the list.

They include: Edward Jones, Camden Property Trust, Recreational Equipment, Whole Foods Market, Scottrade, Ernst & Young, Nordstrom, CarMax, Four Seasons Hotels, Men’s Wearhouse, Deloitte, PricewaterhouseCoopers, Build-A-Bear Workshop, Marriott International, FedEx and Starbucks Coffee.

Zappos.com said Thursday in a statement that it continues to be driven by core values including “deliver ‘WOW’ through service,” “embrace and drive change” and “create fun and a little weirdness.”

Also, “be adventurous, creative and open-minded,” “pursue growth and learning,” “build open and honest relationships with communication,” “build a positive team and family spirit,” “do more with less,” “be passionate and determined” and “be humble.”

To pick the 100 Best Companies, Fortune partners with the Great Place to Work Institute to conduct an extensive employee survey.

No. 1 on the 2010 list is North Carolina-based software company SAS.

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The Review Journal was kind enough to cover a lunch presentation I delivered to Technology Business Alliance of Nevada:

The Las Vegas Valley’s job market isn’t likely to return to expansion in 2010, and that means continued struggles for a high-tech sector that local officials have tried to expand for more than a decade, a local recruiting expert told a technology trade group Wednesday.

Still, long-term opportunities for growth exist, as baby boomers look toward retirement and the city’s high-tech infrastructure lures businesses to Las Vegas, said Doug Geinzer, director of online classified advertising for Recruiting Nevada and Greenspun Media Group. In fact, four of the 10 job categories expected to grow fastest in Nevada through 2016 are tech-related jobs, Geinzer told 50 attendees at a monthly luncheon that the Technology Business Alliance of Nevada held inside Bali Hai Golf Club.

Despite long-range growth trends, immediate challenges remain in 2010, Geinzer said.

Even in the best of times, the valley’s tech sector has faced trouble getting off the ground.

Geinzer took the crowd back to 1999 and 2000, describing how city officials and economic diversification agencies coined the term Silicon Oasis to describe the high-tech haven they hoped to create here. Geinzer reeled off a list of once-hot local technology companies: PurchasePro, TravelScape, MGC Communications, Systems Research & Development, Hello Network, Global Technologies — these companies and more held the promise of thousands of local technology jobs. Entrepreneurs formed the Internet Business Alliance of Nevada, later rebranded the Technology Business Alliance of Nevada, to promote the high-tech sector and help bring talent here.

But the hype couldn’t survive a string of historic events.

The dot-com bust of 2001 dried up capital for tech expansion, and many high-flying startups either closed or sold out to existing companies in other states. The alliance and the Nevada Development Authority had to scrub the launch of a major new recruiting and promotion drive with a debut scheduled for the evening of Sept. 11, 2001. And once the gaming industry rebounded from its post-9-11 malaise and began posting record visitation and gaming wins, concerns about economic diversification fell to the wayside, taking interest in high-tech investment with it, Geinzer said.

We don’t need to tell you the resort and construction boom didn’t last, but Geinzer provided numbers showing just how significantly the city’s fortunes reversed.

The state Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation had projected 145,000 new jobs in Las Vegas between 2007 and 2010, partly because of anticipated expansion along the Strip. But since the recession’s beginning in December 2007, employers in Las Vegas have shed 125,000 jobs. That means the gap between where state economists expected employment to be and where it actually is comes to roughly 270,000 positions, Geinzer noted. Observers expect employers to cut another 50,000 jobs in Las Vegas in 2010, he added.

Nor has CityCenter provided the work-force boost experts had hoped for.

Geinzer, who helped MGM Mirage with CityCenter’s online recruiting efforts, said roughly a third of CityCenter employees came from other MGM Mirage properties. MGM Mirage has been slow to back-fill those vacancies, so the 12,000 jobs CityCenter was supposed to create is more like 8,000 to 10,000 jobs so far, he said. That’s before you include the 9,000 construction workers who lost their jobs once the resort opened.

But opportunities to move up through the work force will emerge. People over 55 make up more than 35 percent of the city’s labor pool, Geinzer noted. Seniors have clung to the job market because their investments shrank during the recession, but when the economy rebounds, you can expect many of those workers to retire.

Plus, Southern Nevada’s fiberoptics networks and other technology infrastructure position Las Vegas well to take advantage of some fast-growing technology businesses. For example, the federal government has committed at least $19 billion to efforts to digitize medical records. Las Vegas’ telephone and Internet companies have laid copious amounts of wire for telecommunications, data transfer and other high-tech functions, and that should help make Las Vegas a leader in electronic health records. Geinzer said he’s working with an East Coast company seeking a West Coast hub for such an operation; the business would bring positions that require “high levels of sophistication — people who know how to manage data and build major data warehouses,” Geinzer said.

“Because we don’t have the old infrastructure that some other cities have, we have the opportunity to be a leader in this charge,” he added.

The state employment department has placed four technology-related fields on its list of the 10 fastest-growing jobs through 2016. Earning the top spot for projected growth: network systems and data communications analyst. The state expects the ranks of such analysts to jump 5.6 percent through 2016. Two different types of computer software engineer take up Nos. 3 and 4, with both set to expand their jobs base by 5.1 percent. Coming in at No. 7 is network and computer systems administration, which is expected to increase its work force by 4.7 percent.

Green jobs should also lend Nevada’s high-tech economy a helping hand, Geinzer said, but job seekers shouldn’t expect to find those opportunities anytime soon.

“A lot of funding (for green jobs) was just released through stimulus funds, but the reality is, it’s going to take a while for those jobs to come about,” he said. “So Nevada still is in for some rough times. This year is not going to be the breakthrough year from an employment standpoint.”

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Green Jobs Training on the Way to Nevada

by doug on January 20, 2010

The U S Department of Labor announced the today that Nevada has been awarded a $6 million grant under the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009. The Department of Employment, Training & Rehabilitation will facilitate State Energy Sector Partnership and Training Grant which is designed to teach workers the skills required in emerging industries, including efficiency and renewable energy, said Larry Mosley, DETR director.

“This grant award is the result of direction by Governor  Jim Gibbons to pursue all available avenues in producing resources that would contribute to the development of much needed jobs, particularly in the area of renewable energy,” Mosley said. “To that end, DETR developed a partnership team to apply for the green job grant that we are proud to say we have successfully procured.”

Governor Gibbons said, “this grant is an important development in our efforts to help Nevada’s economy recover from the devastating effects of this recession. We are pleased to have the opportunity to offer Nevadans additional skills training to help them become employed in jobs that involve renewable energy.”

The grant will be used to:

  • Create an integrated system of education, training and supportive services that promotes skill attainment and career pathway development for low-income, low- skilled workers leading to employment in green industries.
  • To support Nevada’s statewide energy sector strategy including the governors’ overall workforce visions, state energy policies and training activities that lead to employment in targeted industry sectors.
  • Build and strengthen partnerships dedicated to building a skilled clean energy workforce.
  • Develop new partnerships with other agencies receiving Recovery Act funds to support strategic planning and implementation efforts.

Key partnerships in Nevada for this grant include:
Nevada’s Energy Office; Nevada System of Higher Education (NSHE); Local Workforce Investment Boards (workforce Connections and Nevadaworks); K - 12 Education System principles; Apprenticeship Trade Unions and Non-Unions; Nevada Commission on Economic Development; Community-Based and Faith-Based Organizations; Veterans; State Agencies and most important, private businesses, i.e., NV Energy and Southwest Gas and others.

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Vintage Recruitment Ads

by doug on January 19, 2010

I found a real cool website that offers a library of vintage recruitment ads.  I plan on sharing one per week.  If you are impatient and want to check them all out sooner, go to: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/ 

This one is from 1903.  Much different than how we advertise teaching jobs in Las Vegas. And teachers made a whopping (up to) $4,000 back then. 

kellogge28099s-teacherse28099-agencye28099s-teaching-jobs-e28093-concerning-kellogge28099s-teachers-agency-1903

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In the Middle of Difficulty Lies Opportunity

by doug on January 18, 2010

careerfairThe LasVegasSun.com January Career Fair started the year in the right direction for many job seekers. Many Las Vegas companies attended the career fair in high hopes to fill their open recruitments. The turn out for the career fair was outstanding as 1800 job seekers walked through the doors to find their next career path and 50 companies were in attendance, such as Clearwire, Country Financial, Sunrise Health, Geo Holiday, La-Z-Boy Furniture Galleries, Station Casinos, Lotus Broadcasting, Social Security Administration, Telemundo, and many more.

Throughout the day job seekers were given the opportunity to attend a variety of Career Development Workshops in a separate area of the career fair. “How to Land a Job in Las Vegas” presented by Scott Linklater was packed full. Other areas of development that were presented were: “Writing a Powerful Resume”, “How to Apply Online the Right Away”, “Social Networking”, and many more.

The next career fair is scheduled for April 6, 2010 located at the Green Valley Ranch Resort and Casino.

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Advertising Age recently published their Official Social Media and Mobile Glossary of 2010 by Pete Blackshaw which includes their top 20 labels and buzzwords to describe our curious stampede to the social-media and mobile future.

So, just in case you’ve had a quad stalker or too many twitstops, perhaps you need to take a digital detox.

For a very informative discussion on Social Networking with other Las Vegas Human Resource Professionals, please join us for our FREE  Recruiting Best Practices Workshop in March.

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Jobs Data Show Economy at Critical Crossroads

by Mark on January 14, 2010

Blue-collar job losses contrast with growth in health services, professions
By Allison Linn - Senior writer msnbc.com
View Original Article

There’s a major hurdle to the U.S. economy’s recovery: The mismatch between the skills held by the millions of people who are losing jobs and the expertise needed for the few jobs that are being created.

The nation lost 53,000 construction jobs during December, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, the lion’s share of the net 85,000 jobs lost last month. It also shed 27,000 manufacturing jobs. Taken together, those two sectors have shed about 3.7 million jobs since the recession began in December of 2007.

By contrast, areas that saw job growth during the month included health services, which added around 22,000 jobs in December, and professional sectors such as architecture and engineering services, computer systems design and administrative and support services.

“The mismatch is there. People with certain kinds of skills that may not be readily transferable to other parts of the economy … continue to be hit really hard in this downturn,” said Joel Naroff of Naroff Economic Advisors.

The job losses have been so extreme in sectors such as construction that many believe it could take several years for employment to return to its pre-recession levels.

In the meantime, millions of construction workers are unemployed and lack the training to get a job in the few fields that are hiring.

They also may simply not be a good fit.

“Do construction workers really want to go into an office?” Naroff said. “Those are really skilled workers, and a lot of them choose a lifestyle because they like it.”

Jobs in areas such as auto manufacturing may never return, leaving those workers with no choice but to find a job in a new field.

“It’s pretty clear there’s going to be a lot of structural unemployment, which means there’s a lot of people who have been laid off from jobs that just don’t exist anymore,” said Marisa Di Natale, a director at Moody’s Economy.com.

That could lead to higher levels of unemployment even after the economy has recovered more fully. Also, even if manufacturing workers eventually find new work, growing global competition may force them into jobs that pay less than the ones they lost.

“They have skills that might be transferable, but the question is, are they going to be able to match the kinds of salaries and benefits they were making in those companies?” Naroff said.  “A lot of people could be looking at a fairly permanent reduction in (salary).”

In total, the nation lost more jobs than most forecasters had expected in December, and the unemployment rate stayed steady at 10 percent.

One bright spot: Manufacturing job losses were not as bad as in the early months of the recession, which began in December 2007. Although that could be a sign the sector is stabilizing, it doesn’t mean factory jobs will return anytime soon.

Another potential positive is the continued increase in temporary help services. Employers added 47,000 temporary jobs in December, marking the fifth straight month of growth. Employers often add temporary positions before they commit to permanent jobs.

In contrast, the number of people who have been unemployed for six months or more reached 6.1 million in December, and now account for about 40 percent of unemployed Americans. Also, some people have dropped out of the labor force completely because they are so discouraged about their job prospects.

The unemployment report follows a week of economic news showing the U.S. recovery plodding along, although in fits and starts.

The Institute for Supply Management, a trade group of purchasing executives, reported stronger-than-expected manufacturing activity in December, and similar reports from other parts of the world also were encouraging.

The ISM also reported this week that the service sector showed marginal growth in the month, though it was less than many had hoped.

Many of the nation’s retailers reported slight gains for holiday season despite high unemployment and worries that consumers would be extremely frugal. The International Council of Shopping Centers said sales rose 1.8 percent for the November-December period, an improvement over the steep drop in the same period last year.

On Thursday, the government said the number of new claims for unemployment benefits barely rose last week, another sign that the worst recession since the Great Depression may be easing. Oil prices also have rallied sharply in recent weeks.

There also are plenty of signs that any economic recovery will not be smooth.

Construction spending dipped slightly in November, and the number of people preparing to buy a home in November fell sharply. That’s leading some to fear a double-dip in the housing market, which could hinder any recovery.

For most people, however, it will not feel like the nation is in an economy recovery until more Americans are back at work. That could take months, or even years.

“Unfortunately, the labor market is one of the last parts of the economy turn around in a recovery,” Di Natale said.

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